Midhat Shagiakhmetov presented the main parameters of the forecast of socio-economic development of the Republic of Tatarstan for 2022-2024
On September 6 of this year, a meeting of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Tatarstan was held, during which the main parameters of the forecast of socio-economic development and the consolidated budget of the Republic of Tatarstan for 2022-2024 were considered. The meeting was held with the participation of the President of Tatarstan Rustam Minnikhanov and the Prime Minister of the Republic of Tatarstan Alexey Pesoshin. In his report, Deputy Prime Minister of the Republic of Tatarstan-Minister of Economy of the Republic of Tatarstan Midhat Shagiakhmetov noted that in 2021, there is an increase in economic activity in the republic, as well as in the country as a whole.
According to the results of 7 months of this year, the growth of the gross regional product of the republic amounted to 102.3% in comparable prices compared to the corresponding period of last year. Economic growth is primarily due to an increase in volumes in industry, the construction sector, trade, as well as a general revival of business activity.
Taking into account current trends and plans of enterprises, by the end of 2021, the gross regional product of the republic is estimated at 2 trillion. 907.8 billion rubles, or 103.8% in comparable prices compared to last year.
The forecast indicators of the socio-economic development of the republic are formed in view of the data of enterprises and organizations, line ministries, forecasts of the development of municipalities, as well as in accordance with the scenario conditions for the development of the Russian economy recommended by the Government of the country for the regions.
The GRP growth rate in 2022 is projected at 103.6%, in 2023 – 103.1%, in 2024 – 103.4%.
The industry is expected to grow, with respect to the commissioning of capacities in the current and next years, an increase in their utilization and the release of new types of products by enterprises of basic industries.
The growth of the industrial production index in 2022, according to the forecast, will be 3.4%. In 2023-2024, taking into account the implementation of the plans of enterprises, the industrial production index is planned at the level of 103.7-104%.
Abnormal weather conditions this year have negatively affected the indicators in the agriculture of the republic. According to the estimates, by the end of this year, the volume of agricultural products is expected at comparable prices at the level of 81.7% compared to last year. In 2022, the production of agricultural products, according to the forecast, will amount to 110.7% at comparable prices to the level of the current year, including in crop production – 126%, animal husbandry – 100%. In 2023-2024, the growth rate of agricultural products according to the sectoral state program is planned at the level of 101.9%.
The construction complex of the republic provides for an increase in the volume of housing and infrastructure construction within the framework of the implementation of national projects – the average annual growth rate in the forecast period will be 101-101.5%.
The forecast in housing construction provides for the commissioning of more than 8.5 million square meters in three years.
In accordance with the National Goals until 2030, it is required to ensure a real growth of investment in fixed assets of at least 70 percent compared to 2020. The goal for 2021 is to achieve a growth rate of 104.5% or 665 billion rubles of investment.
In the consumer market, the growth rate of retail trade turnover is projected at the level of 102.4-102.5%. The forecast is based on the projected growth of wages and cash incomes of the population and corresponds to the forecast for the whole country.
Special attention is paid to ensuring an increase in employment of the population in all municipalities. By the end of this year, the level of registered unemployment, according to the forecast, will be 1.2%.